#1 12-05-26 14:33

NEX
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sp6culation/8BBEEARR

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#2 12-05-28 19:09

McAlec
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Re: sp6culation/8BBEEARR

The first Black Friday was on April 13th, 2012.

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#3 12-05-28 19:19

Vampyrik
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Re: sp6culation/8BBEEARR

I think it was in 1869 McAlec. Researched for when the first "black Friday" in fiances happened and this is the date that I got. However, not sure if the information you provided was from within the speculation work or from a RL event. I have found no records of a second black Friday though.

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#4 12-05-28 19:25

McAlec
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Re: sp6culation/8BBEEARR

I took mine from what was suggested within Speculation. They mention the most recent crash as being Friday, April 13th, B.R. 12. 2012 also has a Friday the 13th in April. Thought I'd give it a try to see if it gets added to the original post.

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#5 12-05-29 01:52

Re: sp6culation/8BBEEARR

Wikipedia's List of Black Fridays gives the first historical Black Friday as a Glorious Revolution event in 1688, with the second being the Fisk-Gould gold market incident of 1869.

If a crash occurred on Friday, April 13th, B.R. 12, future years it could occur would include 2018, 2029, 2035, 2040, and 2046. This would make B.R. 1 2001, 2007, 2018, 2024, 2029, or 2035 - or B.R. 0 2000, 2006, 2017, 2023, 2028, or 2034 - depending on whether the B.R. timeline starts at 0 or 1. We should be able to safely say that B.R. 1 can't have been before 2012 - otherwise a "Greg Smith type incident" would be anachronistic - so B.R.1 being 2018 actually makes the most sense; but I'm completely spitballing here, since there clearly isn't one single unified timeline and who knows whether we're in the past or future.

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#6 12-05-29 09:11

McAlec
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Re: sp6culation/8BBEEARR

B.R. 1 could be 2012. The timeline begins in July and makes references that would be outdated by 2018: (Frank-Dodd, Greg Smith, etc.)
The BR timeline going in two directions makes it difficult to tell, however...

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#7 12-05-29 18:30

Vampyrik
Member

Re: sp6culation/8BBEEARR

A lot of this seems to be finance related, so I did some research on events that happened in the time frames specified so far (I don't know the future). Here is what I came up with:

1907 - Bankers' Panic of 1907 - NYSE fell 50% and caused numerous runs on banks and trusts - Panic lessened by J.P Morgan offering up personal money to shore banking system
1910-1911 - Panic of 1910-1911.. economic depression followed after enforcement of Sherman Anti-Trust Act
1929 - Stock market crash - Black Tuesday (October 29)
1930 - Start of Great Depression after passage of Smoot-Hawley Tarriff bile on June 17th
1947 - Sterling Crisis of 1947
1950s - post war economic boon
1966 - first postwar financial crisis.. first verification of "finacial instability hypothesis" by Minsky
1970s - Oil crisis.. big spikes in 1973 and 1979
1987 - October 19, stock market crashed.. referred to as Black Monday
1993 - Financial reporting act
1997 - Asian finacial crisis
2008 - Stock market crashed

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#8 12-05-30 07:24

Re: sp6culation/8BBEEARR

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#9 12-05-30 08:21

McAlec
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Re: sp6culation/8BBEEARR

Last edited by McAlec (12-05-30 08:42)

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#10 12-05-30 19:09

laura_palmer
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Re: sp6culation/8BBEEARR

September 8, 1978-protests at the beginning of the Iranian revolution were forcefully repressed.

September 30, 1994-the merger of several radio conglomerates in Quebec led to the shut down of a number of regional AM radio stations.

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#11 12-05-30 20:04

McAlec
Member

Re: sp6culation/8BBEEARR

MetaCorp was founded and the BR timeline established in 2024. 12 years after the first Black Friday and 12 years before the second.

Last edited by McAlec (12-05-30 20:21)

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#12 12-06-02 06:03

Re: sp6culation/8BBEEARR

I don't think anyone has mentioned Black Friday in terms of shopping, I just checked but couldn't see any mention of it.

1997/1998: Asian Financial Crisis: Two Asian countries depreciated their currency, causing the value of other currencies to fall. Governments tried to sell off any foreign money they had and raised interest rates, slowing their country's economic growth. Investors are driven away, causing stock prices to fall and affect other countries.

2008/2009: Global Financial Crisis (Stock Market Crashed) and which caused a Global Recession: The Federal Reserve made access to credit easy and in turn risky home borrowers were allowed by lenders to take out mortgages. They were unable to make the appropriate payments back and houses were taken back. However since this was happening to plenty of people, the housing market was full of houses and no one wanted to buy.

(This is only one aspect of the GFC, about sub-prime mortgages (lending to risky people) and easy credit borrowing. Interesting to note, Alan Greenspan was the chairman at this time and was around at the time of the Asian Financial Crisis too).

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#13 12-06-02 08:41

McAlec
Member

Re: sp6culation/8BBEEARR

I think what we need to do now is imagine BRs in the future...

2045: Choreographed malfunction of all major US power generating stations, plunging the country into a blackout for 7 days. As the world's currency had already shifted to electronic Metadollars, money lost all value for a week. Commonly called the "7 day blackness," but it began and ended on Black and White Friday, respectively.

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#14 12-06-02 14:19

McAlec
Member

Re: sp6culation/8BBEEARR

2058: Hoax that led people to believe it was the second coming of Christ. The name "Black Friday" comes from various predictions of the sky turning black, but in financial circles, it stems from what was later referred to as "rapture shopping."

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#15 12-06-02 14:22

McAlec
Member

Re: sp6culation/8BBEEARR

2061: Stock market crash after the disaster aboard S.S. ENTREPREND, an asteroid mining vehicle touted to have the capacity to quintuple the world's supply of platinum.

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#16 12-06-02 14:38

Parkaboy73
Banned

Re: sp6culation/8BBEEARR

2074: Annual heat wave days in the United States go up to an average of 85 days a year. The Arctic finally becomes entirely ice-free. The number of people exposed to coastal flooding more than triples from early in the century. This coastal flooding leads to a financial impact in the trillions of dollars, a burden that many governments can no longer shoulder. The considerable rise in temperature results in the extinction of kangaroos in Australia, causing the country to declare July 13 "Black Friday."

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#17 12-06-02 14:43

McAlec
Member

Re: sp6culation/8BBEEARR

2070: Only referred to in the innermost circles of the entertainment industry, Walt Disney's unfreezing failed horribly.

2084: A decade-long secret communist uprising was struck a fatal and mysterious blow mere days before armed demonstrations were set to begin.

2099: The official disbandment of the planetary alliance. Every nation on earth dissolved into furious power struggles, altering geopolitics beyond recognition.

2100: MetaCorp unites the newly formed world governments in an economic partnership, bringing earth "into the black."

2119: More than a century after beginning it's search, CERN finally discovers the Higgs Boson particle, reigniting claims that a black hole would form on earth.

2124: A century after the founding of MetaCorp, opponents set an IED in front of it's New New York HQ, killing four of their own and one unaffiliated civilian.

2138: First manned expedition out of the Earth's solar system and into the "fatal and endless blackness of space."

2145: The last of the world's oil reserves is finally depleted. Little fuss is made as the "7-Day Blackness" a century previous had eliminated the Earth's oil dependancy.

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#18 12-06-02 14:58

NEX
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Re: sp6culation/8BBEEARR

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